Race 5 at Aqueduct, Fri., Nov. 2022

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In race 5 at Aqueduct today, a $50K allowance race run at 1 mi. on the dirt for fillies and mares three-years-old, there was an excellent opportunity with #5 Tough Street, who was an overlay at 8-5 odds, when her fair value was 1-1. Statistically, the horse was a clear favorite, dominating nearly every metric from SPD to WP. Yet, the betting public had her as the second favorite to #6 Mia Bear at 3-2. In the race, Tough Street drew away down the stretch to win by three lengths. The difference between the 8-5 and the 1-1 odds is the meat on the bone.

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