By The Track-IQ framework had an excellent result in the nightcap at Belmont in the 11th race, the $250K Pilgrim Stakes at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for two-year-olds, having the winner with its Primary selection of #12 Let Em Know at 12-1 versus a fair-value price of 9-2. The race had high uncertainty, with no horse having theoretical odds lower than 9-2 according to the Model. Let Em Know stalked from third and fourth through opening half mile and then accelerated three-wide around the far turning before taking the lead from #7 Stock Rising at 10-1 midway down the stretch and sustaining to the wire. The program’s third selection, #4 Roscoe Goose at 7-1, finished second. Let Em Know paid $27.38 for the win and the $2 ex. paid $182.36. Let Em Know was not only the Primary Selection in the Track-IQ analysis despite a 7.2% Win Percentage on turf (about 13-1 equivalent odds) but also had the highest readiness grade at 89 in Alpha Signal and was labelled “race fit strong”. This race illustrates once again the value of considering the turf only data along with the mixed data.
