Author: handicapwizard

There was a good result today for the Turf Program in race 5 at Tampa, a $25K claiming race for four-year olds at 1 mi. The Handicap Wizard had #3 Juan Pablo as its top selection with a total winning probability of 29.72%, which is close to where the horse went off at 3-1. Juan Pablo boasted the highest SPD in the field at 60.1% and a LP of 46.7%. In the race, #1 Lassiter at 30-1 led into and out of the first turn, thanks to early speed as reflected in his E1 and E2 estimates of 31.5% and 35.5%. Juan Pablo stalked on the inside about mid-pack down the back stretch, before starting his move around the far turn. Down the stretch, Juan Pablo found a path in the center and went on to win by two lengths. Juan Pablo paid $8.40 for the win. The program had the exacta and the tri-fecta among its top three selections with #6 Super Courage at 3-1 coming in second as the third selection and #1 Lassiter at 30-1 finishing third as the 2nd selection. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $158.70.

First of all, Happy New Year to all from the developers at Handicap Wizard! As a reminder, all users should create a new year folder for 2020 in their master directories for the card files, so that the program can continue to recognize the most recent ones when updating. When you do this, you will see the drop-down year menu on the MAIN sheet change to 2020 as the top year.  New track folders for 2020 also have to be created. Otherwise, everything will function as before

The Handicap Wizard Turf Program had a good result yesterday in race 10 at Gulfstream, the $75K Tropical Park Derby, run at 1 1/6 mi. on the turf for three-year olds. The program’s second selection (by less than one percentage point), #13 Halladay, with a 16.36% winning probability won at 7-2, while it had the top three finishes in its top three selections. The race largely mirrored the results in the final speed (SPD) category, where it went Temple (32.9%), Halladay (26.9%) and Faraway Kitten (13.5%) fourth. Faraway Kitten’s Winning Percentage at 12.8% pushed it into the top three according to Total Winning Probability. In the race, Halladay broke well from the gate from the far outside post and settled in second behind #9 Notorious Nick going around the first turn. Halladay then charged past Notorious Nick on the back stretch and maintained the lead around the far turn and into the final stretch. #3 Faraway Kitten came off the rail to make a three-wide bid, but Halladay held on doggedly on the inside. #6 Temple came up late down the center to take third in the tri-fecta. Halladay paid $8.60 for the win. The $1 exacta paid $44.10, while the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $118.80.

Video Replay Link

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/gp/2019/12/28/9/tropical-park-derby-bt

In a surprise upset in the $100K G3 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes at Gulfstream in race 10, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three-year olds and up, #5 War Story at 12-1 surged late to overtake the heavy favorite, #6 Bodexpress at 1-1, down the stretch to get the win. War Story was the top selection of the program with a total winning probability of 24.43%, underpinned by the highest final speed estimate in the field at 37.7% and the highest winning percentage, adjusted for stakes, at 26.5%.  War Story paid $27.20 for the win. In total, the Handicap Wizard had winners in three out of five graded stakes races with its top selections at Gulfstream today, with this third win coming after Lady Island (3-1) in the 6th and Mitchell Road (3-5) in the 7th.

In the first graded stakes race at Gulfstream today, the $100K Sugar Swirl Stakes, run at 6f on the dirt for three-year old fillies and mares, the Handicap Wizard had the winner with its top selection of #4 Lady Island, who beat the live-odds favorite, #3 Bit of Both, at 9-5. Bolstered by a winning final speed estimate of 45.8%, Lady Island had a total winning probability of 24.61%, which was exactly how the horse went off at 3-1. In the race, the horse broke well from the gate and went wire-to-wire in a no contest. Lady Island paid $8.60 for the win.