Author: handicapwizard

Race 6 at Aqueduct, Sat., Jan. 11

The Program had an excellent result in the 6th race at Aqueduct today, a $50K Alw. race at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt, having the tri-fecta order with its first three selections. These were #4 Strapped at 10-1, #1 Frizzante at 1-1 and #7 Traffic Master at 5-1. Strapped re-rallied from off the pace to catch #1 Frizzante at the wire but unofficially Frizzante held on for the win. However, upon a steward’s inquiry into interference by Frizzante down the stretch, the tri-fecta order was reversed to #4 Strapped, #1 Frizzante and #7 Traffic Master. Strapped paid $22.20 for the win while the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $71.25.

Race 4 at Aqueduct, Sat., Jan. 11

The Grey program had a good result in the 4th race at Aqueduct today, a $25K claiming race at 1 mi. on the dirt four four-year-olds, with its 1st selection of #7 Golden Purchase at 13-1. The horse projected 2nd in SPD with a win estimate of 29.3% (about 2-1 strength equivalent) and 1st in E1 and E2 with values of 55.3% and 60.2%. Though Golden Purchase projected 0% in LP, his COMP value of 45.9% showed the horse had 7-5 strength on a component level in the aggregate. At 13-1 and with a total win probability 21.30% (7-2 equivalent), Golden Purchase was getting about 7-2 to place. In the race, Golden Purchased stalked from the third position before making a three-wide move around the far turn when he dueled with #6 Final Denile down the stretch and kept on for second. Golden Purchase paid $9.70 for the place.

Race 5 at Gulfstream, Fri., Jan 10.

There was a nice result for the program in the 5th race at Gulfstream today, a $25K Clm at 5 1/2f on the dirt for four-year-old and up. The first selection was #2 Ortus at 6-1, who had a total winning probability of 23.22%, translating to odds of 7-2. The horse projected first in SPD with a win estimate of 34.9% (about 2-1 strength) while having the second highest win percentage at 19.4% (4-1 strength). Along with projecting first in SPD, the horse also had low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 5.27%. In the race, Ortus came from off the pace down the stretch to win in a dead heat with #9 Kantknowitall at 5-2. Ortus paid $6.40 for the win in the dead heat and $7.20 for the place.

Gulfstream Graded Stakes Action, Sat., Dec 4

The program had the winner with its first selections in two graded stakes races at Gulfstream today, the $165K Mucho Macho Man Stakes for three-year-olds in the 10th and the $165K Ginger Brew Stakes for three-year-olds fillies in the 11th. In the Mucho Macho Man, the Grey Program had #1 Guns Loaded at 6-5 first, who had a total win probability of 28.4% (5-2 theoretical odds). And in the Ginger Brew, the Turf Program had #10 Nitrogen at 9-5 first, who had a total win probability of 29.58% (almost 2-1 theoretical odds). Both the horses were favorites in their race and underlays. Guns Loaded paid $4.60 and Nitrogen $5.60 for the win.

$165K Mucho Macho Man Stakes

$165K Ginger Brew Stakes