Among a slew of stakes races at Laurel Park today on the day of the Preakness Stakes, the Track-IQ framework had an excellent result in the 9th (1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds) with its Primary selection of #6 Turf Star at 4-1 compared to Model Odds of 5-2. Turf Star had the field best win probability for SPD at 33% (2-1 equivalent odds), an E2 win probability of 33% and WP% of 28%. In the race, #2 The Babeslayer at 5-1 led through the opening quarter and half mile. #1 My Favorite Bird at 3-1 tracked the leaders on the inside before veering to the outside coming around the far turn and then took the lead. Turf Star had stalked from the 6th position on the inside before likewise veering outside down the stretch and then accelerating to catch My Favorite Bird at the wire. Turf Star paid $10.40 for the win.

In the next race in the 10th, the $250K G3 Dinner Party Stakes at 1 1/8 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds and up, the Track-IQ framework for Laurel had the winner with its Primary selection of #4 Fort Washington at 5-2 over the heavy favorite, #3 Cruise the Nile at 2-5. Fort Washington’s class with a WP% of 50% and SPD win probability of 28% proved too strong down the stretch for Cruise the Nile, who finished third.

The Track-IQ had back-to-back winning exacta results in the 1st and 2nd races at Belmont at Aqueduct (BAQ) today. In race 1, it had the exacta order cold with its Primary and Secondary selections of #1 Factually Correct at 3-1 and #2 Nabokov at 7-1 in spite of #4 Beary Funny being the favorite at 7-5. Both exacta horses were overlays compared to their fair-value odds of 2.1-1 and 2.8-1. The $2 ex. paid $51.10.

In race 2, the Track-IQ framework had the exacta order again with #2 Niche winning at 9-2 and #4 Divine Interventions finishing 2nd at 9-2. The $2 exacta paid $49.52.

Tomorrow’s Laurel Park Track-IQ PDF Report will include coverage and analysis of the Preakness Stakes. The report will feature our customary track-specific customization methodology, applying Laurel-tailored pace, probability, and race-structure modeling. Track-IQ contender analysis, projected pace dynamics, overlay identification, and race-specific commentary for the Preakness will be integrated directly into the report package. The Overlay Map for Laurel will also be included as part of the merged product release for comprehensive race-day evaluation.

Today’s Laurel Park Track-IQ card will be offered with full Black-Eyed Susan Stakes coverage.

The Track-IQ model delivered an excellent performance at Santa Anita on May 10, 2026, capturing all 7 covered race winners within the P/S/T/Q framework while demonstrating strong depth and structural containment throughout the ranking hierarchy. The model produced 3 Primary winners, 1 Secondary winner, 2 Tertiary winners, and 1 Quaternary winner. Additionally, 5 of the 7 winning exactas were fully contained inside the P/S/T/Q structure, including successful combinations spanning multiple tiers such as Primary–Quaternary, Secondary–Primary, Tertiary–Primary, Primary–Tertiary, and Quaternary–Primary, reflecting an adaptive and balanced probability architecture capable of identifying not only winners, but the broader competitive structure of each race.

Click to access sax0510_trackiq_report.pdf

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/SA051026USA-EQB.html

Santa Anita (SAX0510) — Exacta Tier Structure

Race	Winner	Win $	Winner Tier	Exacta	Exacta $	Exacta Inside P/S/T/Q?	Exacta Tier Structure
1	#5 Victorious Dream	$2.60	Primary	5-2	$5.80	Yes	Primary – Quaternary
2	#3 Pocket Venus	$3.00	Primary	3-2	$31.20	No	Primary – Outside
3	#3 King of Dragons	$6.80	Secondary	3-6	$17.20	Yes	Secondary – Primary
4	#5 Ryan’s Girl	$9.00	Tertiary	5-4	$16.40	Yes	Tertiary – Primary
6	#1 The Big Cheeseola	$13.60	Primary	1-3	$43.80	Yes	Primary – Tertiary
8	#3 The Last Straw	$12.80	Tertiary	3-7	$46.00	No	Tertiary – Outside
9	#9 Boss Sully	$8.20	Quaternary	9-6	$37.80	Yes	Quaternary – Primary

Totals

Metric	Result
Covered Races	7
Winners Inside P/S/T/Q	7 / 7
Exactas Inside P/S/T/Q	5 / 7
Primary Winners	3
Secondary Winners	1
Tertiary Winners	2
Quaternary Winners	1
Win Return	$56.00
Exacta Return (inside structure only)	$121.00

In the $200K G3 Peter Pan Stakes in race 9, run at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for three-year-olds, the Track-IQ framework had the winner in #3 Growth Equity at 1-1 as the Primary selection. Having excellent SPD, E2 and LP win probabilities of 28%, 23% and 33% along with low risk in a Coefficient of Variance of 3%, Growth Equity went off close to his fair-values odds of 3-2. The horse had won in his only previous start at Aqueduct. In the race, Growth Equity stalked from mid-pack through the opening half mile behind a moderate pace before accelerating three wide around the far turn. Growth Equity passed challengers, #5 Talk to Me Jimmy at 5-2 and #6 Gulfy at 14-1, at the top of the stretch before sprinting on to victory. Talk to Me Jimmy fought on hard for second while #1 Trendsetter at 5-2 came up for third.