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The Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th at Del Mar today, an $80K OC at 5f on the turf for three-year-olds and up, where the program had the tri-fecta order among its first three selection of #2 Yellow Card at 5-2, #4 Book Smart at 5-1 and #6 Patron D’Oro at 13-1. Although Yellow Card projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 43.4% and was the class in the race with an “in the money” win percentage of 70.%, Book Smart best in E1 and E2 with win estimates of 64.2% and 76.9%. In the race, Book Smart’s projections held up with the horse going wire to wire while fending off a late charging Yellow Card in a photo finish. Book Smart paid $12.80 for the win. The $2 ex. paid $47.20 and the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $80.90. This result again shows the strength of the Turf Program, which filters and calculates only turf data. Nice win for Mike Smith.

In the $1 mil. Haskell Stakes yesterday, the program had the exacta order correct with its first two selections of #2 Journalism at 2-5 and #6 Gosger at 6-1. In an exciting finish, Journalism rallied from off the pace to beat Gosger and #8 Goal Oriented down the stretch at the wire. To see the images in full-resolution, click on it and then on the encircled “i” in the bottom right hand corner. Click on the “full-size” link in the center.

The Grey Program had a fine result in the 8th at Monmouth, a $12.5K claiming race at 5 1/2 f for three-year-olds fillies and mares, with its first selection of #7 Karen’s Honor at 7-1. The horse had a total win probability of 32.29%, translating to theoretical odds of 2-1. Karen’s Honor projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 54.6% while having the highest win percentage in the field at 22.2%. The horse also had fairly low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 6.2%. Karen’s Honor paid $16 for the win.

Continuing its good results from yesterday, the Turf Program had another excellent result today in the 5th at Monmouth, a $40K claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the turf for fillies and mares three-years-old and up, having the tri-fecta order correct with its first three selections of #2 Mischief Maxey at 3-1, #5 West Loop at 4-1 and #6 Definite Diva at 5-2. Mischief Maxey rallied inside the last sixteen on the inside part of the track to get the win in a photo with West Loop. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $35.60.

Using both the Grey and Turf programs, the Handicap Wizard had winners in four out of eight races today (with enough data), including in the 5th (a $59K maiden race at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds) with Perrota at 4-1, in the 6th, 7th and 9th (a $16K claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the turf for three-year-olds fillies and mares) with #4 Mexican Sugar at 7-1. In both races, it was the horse’s “in the money” win percentage that was dominant, 88.5% in the case of Perrota and 88.9% in the case of Mexican Sugar. Here the user of the Handicap Wizard’s Turf Program has a significant edge in sifting the data to make this calculation whereas the general public does not have knowledge of this important metric. With Mexican Sugar the Turf program calculated theoretical odds of 1-1 versus final odds of 7-1 while Perroto’s theoretical odds were 3-2 versus final odds of 4-1. Perrota paid $10.40 and Mexican Sugar $17.80 for the win. The ROI with first selections today at Monmouth was 116% (($34.6/$16)/$16).

Race 5

Race 9