Tampa Race 6 on Sat., Feb. 2.

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As shown in the previous race at GP, the Handicap Wizard is very good at identifying the speed in a race, even when the market is discounting a horse for sub-par recent performance. In race 6 at Tampa today, a $22K allowance race at 1 mi. on the turf for four-year olds, the Handicap Wizard rated And Won at 2-1 speediest, followed by Cheyenne’s Colonel at 17-1. With those odds the market was giving Cheyenne’s Colonel an implied winning probability less than 6%. Yet, the horse nearly pulled it off, leading for most of the race, only to be edged out at the wire by And Won by half a length. The race exemplifies the strength of the simulation algorithm by correctly predicting the exacta, which paid $76.40.

 

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